Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tusker vs Rayon Sport

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kodjo A.

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport in this CECAFA Kagame Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tusker
28%
Draws
50%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tusker lately — more wins on the board than Rayon Sport.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Rayon Sport taking it.
  • Tusker have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tusker Clean Sheet 23%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tusker Rayon Sport
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 14
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tusker Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rayon Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodjo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tusker 24 / 100
Rayon Sport 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tusker Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tusker scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Rayon Sport has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Tusker remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Rayon Sport's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tusker VS Rayon Sport
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tusker

(Home)
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Tusker
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

Rayon Sport

(Away)
26 Jul
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
KVZ
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
23 May
APR
2 : 1
Rayon Sport
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus21102:04
2Singida Black Stars21014:33
3Simba20200:02
4Mogadishu City20111:41
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams