Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuttocuoio vs Corticella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Severi C.
56' Event
Bezziccheri D.
90'
Manara N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tuttocuoio
20%
Draws
64%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corticella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corticella lately — more wins on the board than Tuttocuoio.
  • Win probability leans Tuttocuoio's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 16%
Corticella Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuttocuoio Corticella
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.61 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Corticella
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Tuttocuoio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuttocuoio Compare

Top Goalscorer Severi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezziccheri D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuttocuoio 36 / 100
Corticella 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuttocuoio Corticella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Corticella conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Corticella's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tuttocuoio found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Tuttocuoio VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuttocuoio

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 8

Corticella

(Away)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)