Sport Picks

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Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Gustavsson V.
52'
Graudums T.
68'
Sub
Lundgren N. In: Ademi L.
Out: Lundgren N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Tvaaker and AFC Malmo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tvaaker
35%
Draws
17%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of AFC Malmo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tvaaker's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 14%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker AFC Malmo
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo
0:0
May 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker
4:1
Jun 8, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 66 / 100
AFC Malmo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tvaaker Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Recent resilience: Tvaaker stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

AFC Malmo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS AFC Malmo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
22 Aug
Olympic
3 : 4
Tvaaker
15 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 2
Tvaaker
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5
Lunds Bois
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 21 12 6 3 44:24 42
2 Hassleholms IF 21 12 3 6 41:26 39
3 Atvidaberg 21 11 6 4 45:32 39
4 Lunds Bois 21 10 8 3 44:26 38
5 Rosengard 21 9 7 5 35:28 34
6 Tvaaker 21 9 6 6 28:28 33
7 AFC Malmo 21 8 8 5 39:31 32
8 Trollhattan 21 7 7 7 33:33 28
9 Skovde 21 6 9 6 23:29 27
10 Jonkoping 20 7 5 8 25:20 26
11 Olympic 21 8 2 11 38:43 26
12 Eskilsminne 21 7 4 10 32:38 25
13 Laholms 21 6 3 12 28:38 21
14 Kristianstad 20 5 5 10 25:33 20
15 Angelholm 21 3 8 10 25:39 17
16 Utsikten 21 1 5 15 17:54 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)