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Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Gustavsson V.
52'
Graudums T.
68'
Sub
Lundgren N. In: Ademi L.
Out: Lundgren N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Tvaaker and AFC Malmo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tvaaker
20%
Draws
51%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Malmo come out ahead of Tvaaker on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 14%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker AFC Malmo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.6 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo
0:0
May 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker
4:1
Jun 8, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 35 / 100
AFC Malmo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

AFC Malmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tvaaker remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS AFC Malmo
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
31 Oct
Angelholm
1 : 0
Tvaaker
23 Oct
Utsikten
1 : 4
Tvaaker
17 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Rosengard
12 Oct
Laholms
1 : 1
Tvaaker
03 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3
Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3
Angelholm
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1
AFC Malmo
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 29 20 6 3 66:32 66
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 29 14 8 7 57:37 50
4 AFC Malmo 29 13 8 8 58:45 47
5 Atvidaberg 29 13 8 8 53:43 47
6 Rosengard 29 10 10 9 46:44 40
7 Jonkoping 29 11 6 12 35:31 39
8 Trollhattan 29 10 8 11 51:54 38
9 Tvaaker 29 10 8 11 39:43 38
10 Skovde 29 9 11 9 39:47 38
11 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
12 Kristianstad 29 10 6 13 37:41 36
13 Eskilsminne 29 9 6 14 45:60 33
14 Laholms 29 9 5 15 40:47 32
15 Angelholm 29 7 9 13 37:50 30
16 Utsikten 29 3 6 20 27:71 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)