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Tvaaker vs Lunds Bois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker host Lunds Bois in the Division 1 - Södra. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Lunds Bois have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Tvaaker have conceded 1.56 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Tvaaker have won 1 to Lunds Bois's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.69) point toward Lunds Bois. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tvaaker
20%
Draws
44%
Lunds Bois
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lunds Bois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lunds Bois come out ahead of Tvaaker on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lunds Bois have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 13%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Lunds Bois
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.44 2
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Lunds Bois
0:1
May 19, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Lunds Bois
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 30 / 100
Lunds Bois 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Lunds Bois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tvaaker Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Lunds Bois has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Tvaaker went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lunds Bois's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Lunds Bois
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
23 Oct
Utsikten
1 : 4
Tvaaker
17 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Rosengard
12 Oct
Laholms
1 : 1
Tvaaker
03 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
26 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Tvaaker
Page 1 of 6

Lunds Bois

(Away)
24 Oct
Eskilsminne
1 : 4
Lunds Bois
16 Oct
Lunds Bois
2 : 4
Trelleborg
10 Oct
Lunds Bois
4 : 3
Trollhattan
02 Oct
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Laholms
25 Sept
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Kristianstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 28 19 6 3 64:31 63
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 28 13 8 7 56:37 47
4 Atvidaberg 28 13 8 7 52:41 47
5 AFC Malmo 28 12 8 8 52:42 44
6 Rosengard 28 10 10 8 44:41 40
7 Jonkoping 28 11 6 11 35:30 39
8 Trollhattan 28 10 8 10 48:48 38
9 Tvaaker 28 10 8 10 39:42 38
10 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
11 Skovde 28 8 11 9 36:45 35
12 Kristianstad 28 9 6 13 34:41 33
13 Eskilsminne 28 9 6 13 45:57 33
14 Laholms 28 9 5 14 39:45 32
15 Angelholm 28 6 9 13 36:50 27
16 Utsikten 28 2 6 20 25:70 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)