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Tvaaker vs Savedalen

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker host Savedalen in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Tvaaker have averaged 2.42 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Savedalen's 1.24 scored and 2.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Tvaaker have won 2 to Savedalen's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.06 - 1.38) back Tvaaker to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Tvaaker
20%
Draws
17%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of Savedalen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tvaaker a 63% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 17%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Savedalen
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.42 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Savedalen
0:0
Aug 26, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Savedalen
1:2
Jul 25, 2017 Svenska Cupen
Savedalen vs Tvaaker
1:2
May 13, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Tvaaker
3:2
Oct 4, 2014 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Savedalen
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 84 / 100
Savedalen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Savedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tvaaker Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tvaaker scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Savedalen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tvaaker has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Savedalen
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
22 Aug
Olympic
3 : 4
Tvaaker
15 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 2
Tvaaker
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Savedalen

(Away)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
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