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Savedalen

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker play Savedalen in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tvaaker averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. Savedalen averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Tvaaker won 2, Savedalen won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Tvaaker and 1.56 for Savedalen. This points to a Tvaaker double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Tvaaker

23%

Draws

23%

Savedalen

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Tvaaker picked up more points recently compared to Savedalen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Tvaaker Clean Sheet 15%

Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tvaaker	Savedalen
Matches Played	38	29
Wins	25	6
Draws	7	9
Losses	6	14
Goals Scored	2.66	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.05	2.28
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Tvaaker vs Savedalen

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Aug 26, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Tvaaker vs Savedalen

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Jul 25, 2017 Svenska Cupen

Savedalen vs Tvaaker

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

May 13, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Savedalen vs Tvaaker

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Oct 4, 2014 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Tvaaker vs Savedalen

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 52 / 100

Savedalen 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tvaaker Savedalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tvaaker Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tvaaker & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tvaaker attacking → ← attacking Savedalen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker scored in 92% of their last 38 games.

Savedalen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tvaaker went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Savedalen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

82 Points in last 5 27

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00