Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tvaaker vs Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Antonsson B.
46'
Sub
Fosuhene Asare K. In: Karlsson V.
Out: Fosuhene Asare K.
46'
Sub
Gudmundsson J. In: Jaf E.
Out: Gudmundsson J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Tvaaker and Trelleborg finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trelleborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tvaaker
20%
Draws
56%
Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of Trelleborg on wins alone.
  • Trelleborg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Trelleborg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 15%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Trelleborg
Matches Played 36 27
Wins 19 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.08 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trelleborg
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Tvaaker
4:1
Aug 20, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Tvaaker vs Trelleborg
1:3
Aug 21, 2019 Svenska Cupen
Tvaaker vs Trelleborg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tvaaker Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Christiansen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 27 / 100
Trelleborg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trelleborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Trelleborg conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tvaaker has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Trelleborg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
Page 1 of 8

Trelleborg

(Away)
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4
Trelleborg
12 Sept
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Hassleholms IF
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
30 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Utsikten
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 23 14 6 3 49:27 48
2 Hassleholms IF 23 13 3 7 43:27 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 23 11 8 4 46:27 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 23 9 8 6 39:33 35
7 Trollhattan 23 9 7 7 37:34 34
8 Jonkoping 23 9 6 8 29:22 33
9 Tvaaker 23 9 6 8 30:33 33
10 Olympic 23 9 3 11 40:44 30
11 Eskilsminne 23 8 5 10 38:42 29
12 Skovde 23 6 9 8 26:35 27
13 Kristianstad 23 6 6 11 28:36 24
14 Laholms 23 6 4 13 30:41 22
15 Angelholm 23 3 9 11 27:43 18
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)