Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TVD Velbert vs Baumberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Sezer B.
35' Event
Haderer F.
73' Event
Sarikaya B.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 game between TVD Velbert and Baumberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baumberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
TVD Velbert
20%
Draws
63%
Baumberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Baumberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Baumberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 20%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVD Velbert Baumberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.2 2
Goals Conceded 3.27 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Baumberg
1:3
Oct 30, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs TVD Velbert
6:1
Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs TVD Velbert
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Baumberg
2:2
Feb 5, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs TVD Velbert
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Britscho P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Baumberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezer B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haderer F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVD Velbert 10 / 100
Baumberg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVD Velbert Baumberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baumberg conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

TVD Velbert's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: TVD Velbert remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baumberg
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TVD Velbert

(Home)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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Baumberg

(Away)
13 Sept
Baumberg
4 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
06 Sept
Solingen-Wald
1 : 4
Baumberg
30 Aug
Baumberg
2 : 1
Uerdingen
23 Aug
Meerbusch
2 : 4
Baumberg
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)