Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TVD Velbert vs SC St.Tonis

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Knops M.
19' Event
Kamo D.
23' Event
Kamo D.

AI Match Summary

SC St.Tonis in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC St.Tonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
TVD Velbert
15%
Draws
65%
SC St.Tonis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC St.Tonis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC St.Tonis lately — more wins on the board than TVD Velbert.
  • Model gives SC St.Tonis a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 14%
SC St.Tonis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVD Velbert SC St.Tonis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.2 2.33
Goals Conceded 3.27 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SC St.Tonis
0:8
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs TVD Velbert
4:0
Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SC St.Tonis
4:3
Sep 23, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs TVD Velbert
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs TVD Velbert
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TVD Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

SC St.Tonis Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamo D.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Knops M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVD Velbert 10 / 100
SC St.Tonis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVD Velbert SC St.Tonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC St.Tonis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: TVD Velbert scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

SC St.Tonis has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: TVD Velbert remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC St.Tonis
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TVD Velbert

(Home)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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SC St.Tonis

(Away)
27 Sept
SC St.Tonis
4 : 0
Buderich
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
SC St.Tonis
2 : 1
Wuppertaler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
04 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 1
SC St.Tonis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)