Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TVD Velbert vs Schonnebeck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tonnies C. D.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 game between TVD Velbert and Schonnebeck finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schonnebeck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
TVD Velbert
15%
Draws
71%
Schonnebeck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Schonnebeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Schonnebeck come out ahead of TVD Velbert on wins alone.
  • Model gives Schonnebeck a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
Schonnebeck Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVD Velbert Schonnebeck
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.2 2.83
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Schonnebeck
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Schonnebeck vs TVD Velbert
5:0
Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Schonnebeck vs TVD Velbert
2:2
Nov 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Schonnebeck vs TVD Velbert
4:1
Aug 20, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Schonnebeck
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TVD Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Schonnebeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonnies C. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVD Velbert 10 / 100
Schonnebeck 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVD Velbert Schonnebeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schonnebeck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

TVD Velbert's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Schonnebeck conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

TVD Velbert went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Schonnebeck
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TVD Velbert

(Home)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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Schonnebeck

(Away)
25 Sept
Holzheim
0 : 3
Schonnebeck
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
Dingden
0 : 5
Schonnebeck
06 Sept
Schonnebeck
7 : 1
Buderich
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5
Schonnebeck
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)