Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TVD Velbert vs SF Niederwenigern

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Marino A.
83' Event
Renneberg P. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
TVD Velbert
6%
Draws
90%
SF Niederwenigern
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SF Niederwenigern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SF Niederwenigern have won more games recently than TVD Velbert.
  • SF Niederwenigern are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
SF Niederwenigern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVD Velbert SF Niederwenigern
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SF Niederwenigern
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SF Niederwenigern vs TVD Velbert
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SF Niederwenigern vs TVD Velbert
0:1
Mar 7, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SF Niederwenigern
0:0
Oct 3, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
SF Niederwenigern vs TVD Velbert
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Marino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

SF Niederwenigern Compare

Top Goalscorer Renneberg P. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVD Velbert 10 / 100
SF Niederwenigern 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVD Velbert SF Niederwenigern

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SF Niederwenigern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

TVD Velbert scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: SF Niederwenigern has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TVD Velbert VS SF Niederwenigern
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SSVg Velbert34228482:3174
2Schonnebeck342266108:3972
3SW Essen34216774:4269
4SC St.Tonis34215895:4568
5Homberg341951067:4662
6Hilden34179865:4360
7Buderich341651379:7453
8Sonsbeck341361552:6345
9Germania Ratingen341351648:5444
10Meerbusch3411101363:6343
11SV Biemenhorst341261650:7542
12FC Monheim341081655:6438
13Kleve348131345:5337
14Baumberg34981747:7235
15Union Nettetal34862044:7330
16SF Niederwenigern346111743:7029
17Mulheimer FC 9734772045:8828
18TVD Velbert34662241:10824