Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 De Grolsch Veste

Sparta Rotterdam

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Twente play Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Twente averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Twente won 4, Sparta Rotterdam won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Twente and 1.56 for Sparta Rotterdam. This points to a Twente double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Twente

24%

Draws

29%

Sparta Rotterdam

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Twente picked up more points recently compared to Sparta Rotterdam.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Twente Clean Sheet 15%

Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Twente	Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played	27	32
Wins	15	14
Draws	9	6
Losses	3	12
Goals Scored	1.85	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.04	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie

Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

4:0

Sep 19, 2025 Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

1:5

May 4, 2025 Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Aug 17, 2024 Eredivisie

Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 9, 2024 Eredivisie

Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Twente Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Belt T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hlynsson K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente 45 / 100

Sparta Rotterdam 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Twente Sparta Rotterdam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Twente or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Twente attacking → ← attacking Sparta Rotterdam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twente scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Sparta Rotterdam let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Twente went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Rotterdam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 48

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101:45	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	65
3	Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	43
11	Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	39
12	G.A. Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	37
15	Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	19