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Twente vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
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Match Events

24'
Weidmann D.
31'
Fehr F.
43'
Adelgaard A.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Twente and Thun finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Twente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Twente
15%
Draws
20%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Twente come out ahead of Thun on wins alone.
  • Twente are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Twente Clean Sheet 68%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twente Thun
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2026 Conference League
Twente vs Thun
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Twente Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerrouki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Thun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente 95 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twente Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twente found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Thun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Twente remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Thun's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Twente VS Thun
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Twente

(Home)
25 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2
Twente
22 Oct
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 4
Twente
18 Oct
Twente
1 : 2
Utrecht
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1
Twente
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
25 Oct
Thun
2 : 3
Lugano
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Lugano 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Monaco 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
7 St. Truiden 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
8 Hajduk Split 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
9 Brighton 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
10 FC Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
11 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
12 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
13 Ajax 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16 Braga 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Gent 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
18 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
19 Nordsjaelland 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
20 KF Egnatia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
21 Riga FC 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
22 Crvena zvezda 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
23 CSKA Sofia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
24 Jablonec 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
25 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Pafos 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
28 Hearts 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 Iberia 1999 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Getafe 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
31 Kairat Almaty 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
32 Thun 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34 KuPS 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Inter Escaldes 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)