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Twente vs Willem II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Twente host Willem II in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Twente at 2.23 goals for, 1.26 against; Willem II at 1.69 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Twente have won 3 to Willem II's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 12, 2025, ending 6:2. xG projections (3.13 - 1.00) back Twente to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Twente
15%
Draws
20%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Twente have won more games recently than Willem II.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Twente taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Twente Clean Sheet 20%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twente Willem II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.23 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Eredivisie
Twente vs Willem II
6:2
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Twente
0:1
Jan 22, 2022 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Twente
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 Eredivisie
Twente vs Willem II
1:1
Mar 6, 2021 Eredivisie
Twente vs Willem II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente 85 / 100
Willem II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twente Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twente found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Willem II let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Twente remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Twente VS Willem II
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Twente

(Home)
25 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2
Twente
22 Oct
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 4
Twente
18 Oct
Twente
1 : 2
Utrecht
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1
Twente
Page 1 of 7

Willem II

(Away)
31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0
Willem II
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4
Willem II
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6
Cambuur
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Willem II
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)