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Twente W vs Heerenveen W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Schreurserve
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Twente W play Heerenveen W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. Twente W are favorites here. Recently, Twente W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Heerenveen W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. In past meetings, Twente W won 5, Heerenveen W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Twente W and 1.38 for Heerenveen W. This points to a Twente W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Twente W
15%
Draws
24%
Heerenveen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Twente W picked up more points recently compared to Heerenveen W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Twente W Clean Sheet 17%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twente W Heerenveen W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs Heerenveen W
5:1
Sep 6, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Twente W
1:3
Mar 23, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs Heerenveen W
3:0
Dec 7, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Twente W
0:4
Jan 31, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Twente W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Twente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravensbergen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roord J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Meijer F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente W 58 / 100
Heerenveen W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twente W Heerenveen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Twente W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Twente W attacking → ← attacking Heerenveen W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twente W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Heerenveen W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Twente W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Heerenveen W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 26
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717