Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Twente W vs SBV Excelsior W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Schreurserve, Enschede
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tuin A.
Assist: Hulst C.
13'
Gomez I.
20' Event
Ravensbergen J.
Assist: Groenewegen L.

AI Match Summary

Twente W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Twente W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Twente W
15%
Draws
0%
SBV Excelsior W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Twente W have won more games recently than SBV Excelsior W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Twente W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Twente W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Twente W Clean Sheet 68%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twente W SBV Excelsior W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs SBV Excelsior W
3:0
Jan 29, 2026 KNVB Beker Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Twente W
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Twente W
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Twente W
1:10
Oct 12, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Twente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ravensbergen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente W 95 / 100
SBV Excelsior W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twente W SBV Excelsior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SBV Excelsior W conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Twente W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: SBV Excelsior W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Twente W VS SBV Excelsior W
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Twente W

(Home)
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
Twente W
4 : 0
Feyenoord W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
23 Aug
Den Haag W
1 : 7
Twente W
16 Aug
Twente W
2 : 1
De Graafschap W
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SBV Excelsior W

(Away)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)