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Txantrea vs Cirbonero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Goni O.
50' Event
Mateo J.
82'
Moriones S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Txantrea
30%
Draws
29%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Txantrea average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Cirbonero's 1.03.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Txantrea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 68%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Txantrea Cirbonero
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cirbonero
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Txantrea
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cirbonero
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Txantrea
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Cirbonero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Txantrea Compare

Top Goalscorer Goni O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Txantrea 50 / 100
Cirbonero 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Txantrea Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Txantrea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Txantrea scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Cirbonero let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Txantrea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Txantrea VS Cirbonero
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Txantrea

(Home)
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
Page 1 of 6

Cirbonero

(Away)
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Huarte
2 : 0
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Beti Kozkor 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gazte Berriak 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Ezcabarte 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
5 Aoiz 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Mutilvera 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Doneztebe FT 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
8 Subiza 3 1 1 1 8:6 4
9 Txantrea 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
10 AD San Juan 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
11 CD Beti Onak 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
12 Cortes 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
13 CD Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
14 Pamplona 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
15 Huarte 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Valle Egues 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
17 Cirbonero 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
18 Bidezarra 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)