Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tynset vs Tiller

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hermanstad R.
42' Event
Frones J. S.
56' Event
Myrvold F. A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Tiller advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tynset
15%
Draws
85%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiller carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tiller a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Tiller arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiller, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tynset Clean Sheet 10%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tynset Tiller
Matches Played 15 36
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 5
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.33 1.56
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Tynset vs Tiller
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 NM Cup
Tynset vs Tiller
1:4
Sep 12, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Tynset vs Tiller
0:0
Aug 15, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Tynset vs Tiller
0:0
Aug 19, 2013 Division 3 - Group 10
Tiller vs Tynset
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tynset Compare

Top Goalscorer Aasen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.24

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Frones J. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hermanstad R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tynset 22 / 100
Tiller 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tynset Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiller Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiller has conceded goals in 92% of their last 36 outings.

Tynset's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tiller lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tynset VS Tiller
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tynset

(Home)
22 Aug
Tynset
0 : 3
Trygg/Lade
30 Oct
Orkla
7 : 3
Tynset
23 Oct
Tynset
0 : 3
Spjelkavik
17 Oct
Melhus
3 : 0
Tynset
09 Oct
Tynset
1 : 3
Byasen
Page 1 of 3

Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sola 1
Madla IL 0
Hinna 0
Bryne 4
Herd 0
Hodd 3
Spjelkavik 1
Molde 4
Ullern 3
Asker 1
Lyn 0
Valerenga 4
Flint 1
Fram 2
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Odds BK 1
Ardal 0
Floro 1
Fjora 0
Sogndal 3
Stord 3
Haugesund 2
Lysekloster 1
Asane 2
OS TF 2
Oygarden FK 6
Sandviken 1
Fyllingsdalen 2
Nordstrand 3
Baerum 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Vestfossen 1
Moss 3
Krakeroy 0
Fredrikstad 3
Akra 3
V. Haugesund 2
Brodd 0
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 2
Egersund 1
IL Express 0
Start 8
Halsen 1
Notodden 5
Assiden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Toten 0
Brumunddal 1
Ham-Kam 2
Gjellerasen 1
Eidsvold TF 4
Nybergsund 0
Raufoss 1
Ready 4
Grei 0
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 2
Orn 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Follo 0
Stabaek 1
Kolstad 0
Levanger 5
Byasen 3
Ranheim 4
Sunndal 0
Brattvag 4
Traeff 0
Aalesund 4
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Skanland 0
Tromso 11
Junkeren 2
Mjolner 0
Rana FK 1
Bodo/Glimt 4
Verdal 0
Nardo 6
Ntnui 0
Stjordals Blink 6
Mandalskameratene 1
Arendal 2
Pors 1
Sandefjord 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 0
Kjelsas 1
Stovner 2
Grorud 5
Oppsal 0
Skeid 2
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Lillestrom 4
Floya 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Frigg 2
KFUM Oslo 4
Tynset 1
Tiller 4
Volda 2
Kristiansund 4
Harstad 2
Melbo 0
Finnsnes 0
Senja 3
Fana 2
Sotra 1
Bjarg 0
Brann 5
Elverum 1
Kongsvinger 3
Lorenskog 1
Strommen 2
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 1
Donn 1
Jerv 2
Vardeneset 0
Djerv 1919 3
Staal Jorpeland 2
Viking 3
Strindheim 2
Orkla 4
Melhus 0
Rosenborg 7
1/32-finals
Sola 0
Bryne 6
Hodd 1
Molde 2
Ullern 1
Valerenga 3
Fram 0
Odds BK 1
Floro 1
Sogndal 5
Stord 0
Asane 4
Oygarden FK 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Nordstrand 0
Sarpsborg 08 3
Moss 3
Fredrikstad 1
Akra 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 0
Start 2
Notodden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 3
Eidsvold TF 1
Raufoss 3
Ready 0
Stromsgodset 1
Ull/Kisa 0
Stabaek 1
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Brattvag 2
Aalesund 3
Alta 3
Tromso 1
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 3
Stjordals Blink 0
Arendal 5
Sandefjord 4
Kjelsas 0
Grorud 1
Skeid 1
Lillestrom 2
Floya 1
KFUM Oslo 5
Tiller 1
Kristiansund 5
Harstad 3
Senja 2
Fana 0
Brann 3
Kongsvinger 3
Strommen 0
Flekkeroy 3
Jerv 2
Djerv 1919 0
Viking 2
Orkla 1
Rosenborg 11
1/16-finals
Bryne 1
Molde 4
Valerenga 0
Odds BK 3
Sogndal 0
Asane 2
Oygarden FK 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Moss 1
Sandnes Ulf 7
Start 4
Mjondalen 2
Ham-Kam 1
Raufoss 2
Stromsgodset 5
Stabaek 1
Ranheim 1
Aalesund 2
Alta 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Nardo 3
Arendal 2
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
KFUM Oslo 3
Kristiansund 1
Harstad 0
Brann 5
Kongsvinger 4
Flekkeroy 1
Viking 3
Rosenborg 1
1/8-finals
Molde 3
Odds BK 2
Asane 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Sandnes Ulf 2
Start 0
Raufoss 1
Stromsgodset 2
Aalesund 0
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 0
Lillestrom 4
KFUM Oslo 1
Brann 0
Kongsvinger 0
Viking 2
Quarter-finals
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Stromsgodset 4
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Viking 5
Semi-finals
Molde 3
Stromsgodset 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Viking 1
Final
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 0