Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tyumen vs Kuban

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Geolog Stadium, Tyumen
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Boyarskikh K.
37'
Petrov M.
39' Event
Babaev V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tyumen in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tyumen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tyumen
30%
Draws
23%
Kuban
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tyumen lately — more wins on the board than Kuban.
  • Tyumen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 68%
Kuban Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyumen Kuban
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kuban vs Tyumen
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Kuban
2:1
Feb 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Tyumen vs Kuban
1:2
Nov 12, 2023 FNL
Tyumen vs Kuban
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 FNL
Kuban vs Tyumen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyarskikh K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kuban Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyumen 95 / 100
Kuban 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyumen Kuban

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Kuban's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tyumen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tyumen VS Kuban
0.75 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Tyumen

(Home)
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
16 Aug
Tyumen
4 : 3
Torpedo Miass
12 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 1
Tyumen
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Kuban

(Away)
14 Jun
Zenit St Petersburg 2
2 : 1
Kuban
06 Jun
Kuban
1 : 0
Tyumen
30 May
Amkar
2 : 2
Kuban
24 May
Kuban
1 : 1
Kirov
20 May
D. Bryansk
2 : 1
Kuban
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)