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Stadium Background

Tyumen vs Kuban

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Geolog Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Boyarskikh K.
37'
Petrov M.
39' Event
Babaev V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tyumen in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tyumen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tyumen
33%
Draws
40%
Kuban
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kuban

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kuban lately — more wins on the board than Tyumen.
  • Kuban are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 19%
Kuban Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyumen Kuban
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kuban vs Tyumen
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Kuban
2:1
Feb 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Tyumen vs Kuban
1:2
Nov 12, 2023 FNL
Tyumen vs Kuban
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 FNL
Kuban vs Tyumen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyarskikh K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kuban Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyumen 28 / 100
Kuban 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyumen Kuban

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Kuban's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tyumen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tyumen VS Kuban
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518