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Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Beit Shean - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Beit Shean in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Beit Shean have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Tzeirey Um El Fahem have conceded 1.39 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Tzeirey Um El Fahem have won 0 to Beit Shean's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2027, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.25 xG vs 0.50) point toward Beit Shean. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
35%
Draws
50%
Beit Shean
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beit Shean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beit Shean come out ahead of Tzeirey Um El Fahem on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Beit Shean
Matches Played 18 18
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2027 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Oct 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Beit Shean
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Beit Shean
0:3
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 32 / 100
Beit Shean 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Beit Shean

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beit Shean Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Defensive concern: Beit Shean conceded in 61% of 18 recent games.

Solid form: Tzeirey Um El Fahem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Beit Shean
0.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4

Beit Shean

(Away)
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 5 3 1 1 14:7 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
13 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
14 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
15 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
16 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 5 0 1 4 2:14 1
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)