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Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Jan 9, 2027
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Hapoel Bnei Musmus in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hapoel Bnei Musmus have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Tzeirey Um El Fahem have conceded 1.39 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Tzeirey Um El Fahem slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 9, 2027, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 0.50, favoring Hapoel Bnei Musmus. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
35%
Draws
41%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Bnei Musmus come out ahead of Tzeirey Um El Fahem on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tzeirey Um El Fahem's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2027 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:0
Sep 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 36 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Bnei Musmus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Recent resilience: Tzeirey Um El Fahem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)