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Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Hapoel Migdal HaEmek in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tzeirey Um El Fahem have averaged 1 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's 1.85 scored and 1.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Hapoel Migdal HaEmek slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2027, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
35%
Draws
47%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hapoel Migdal HaEmek a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2027 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Nov 7, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 24 / 100
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 20 matches.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
05 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)