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Stadium Background

Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Khakrush M.
70' Event
Golan M.
78' Event
Gabarin M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Tzeirey Um El Fahem and Hapoel Tirat Karmel finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tzeirey Um El Fahem come out ahead of Hapoel Tirat Karmel on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tzeirey Um El Fahem's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 6 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tzeirey Um El Fahem Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabarin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare

Top Goalscorer Golan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 42 / 100
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has conceded goals in 90% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Recent resilience: Tzeirey Um El Fahem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00