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Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Baka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Feb 27, 2027
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Ironi Baka in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ironi Baka have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Tzeirey Um El Fahem have conceded 1.39 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Tzeirey Um El Fahem slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2027, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 0.75, favoring Ironi Baka. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
35%
Draws
37%
Ironi Baka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ironi Baka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ironi Baka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Ironi Baka
Matches Played 18 21
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2027 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Baka
0:0
Oct 31, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Feb 13, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Baka
1:0
Oct 10, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
2:1
Apr 9, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Baka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 32 / 100
Ironi Baka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Ironi Baka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Baka let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ironi Baka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Ironi Baka
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4

Ironi Baka

(Away)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 5 3 1 1 14:7 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
13 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
14 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
15 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
16 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 5 0 1 4 2:14 1
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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