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Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Jan 23, 2027
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Tzeirey Um El Fahem at 1 goals for, 1.39 against; Ironi Nesher at 1.7 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Ironi Nesher slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2027, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.32 xG vs 1.25) point toward Ironi Nesher. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
35%
Draws
50%
Ironi Nesher
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ironi Nesher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Tzeirey Um El Fahem haven't matched Ironi Nesher's recent run of results.
  • Ironi Nesher are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 19%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Ironi Nesher
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2027 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Sep 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
5:1
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 10 / 100
Ironi Nesher 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Ironi Nesher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ironi Nesher Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Nesher has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tzeirey Um El Fahem scored in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Ironi Nesher
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4

Ironi Nesher

(Away)
08 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 1
Ironi Nesher
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)