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U. Catolica vs Cobresal Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

5 - 1
FT
Cobresal Logo

Cobresal

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Brea J.
20'
Mena E.
21' Event
Pino S.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
U. Catolica
20%
Draws
33%
Cobresal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives U. Catolica a 47% chance of winning this.
  • U. Catolica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors U. Catolica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Cobresal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Cobresal
2:0
Jun 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. Catolica vs Cobresal
5:1
Mar 30, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cobresal vs U. Catolica
1:3
Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs U. Catolica
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Cobresal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Canales A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corral D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cobresal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 95 / 100
Cobresal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Cobresal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Cobresal conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Cobresal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 7

Cobresal

(Away)
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)