Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Claro Arena

Copiapo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica play Copiapo in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. Catolica averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Copiapo averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, U. Catolica won 4, Copiapo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for U. Catolica and 0.69 for Copiapo. This points to a U. Catolica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

U. Catolica

22%

Draws

29%

Copiapo

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

U. Catolica picked up more points recently compared to Copiapo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 28%

Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	Copiapo
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	21	11
Draws	5	9
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	2.24	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile

U. Catolica vs Copiapo

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile

Copiapo vs U. Catolica

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Sep 25, 2024 Liga de Primera

U. Catolica vs Copiapo

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Apr 27, 2024 Liga de Primera

Copiapo vs U. Catolica

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Dec 2, 2023 Liga de Primera

U. Catolica vs Copiapo

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 50 / 100

Copiapo 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica Copiapo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. Catolica or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. Catolica attacking → ← attacking Copiapo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Copiapo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Copiapo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 42

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	5	2	3	0	7:3	9
2	Deportes Iquique	5	2	2	1	9:5	8
3	Limache	4	1	2	1	6:7	5
4	San Marcos de Arica	4	0	1	3	1:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	4	4	0	0	12:4	12
2	Everton	5	1	2	2	9:9	5
3	Copiapo	4	1	1	2	2:7	4
4	San Luis	5	0	3	2	7:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	4	3	1	0	7:3	10
2	La Serena	4	2	1	1	5:5	7
3	Cobreloa	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
4	Cobresal	4	0	1	3	0:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union La Calera	5	2	2	1	9:6	8
2	U. De Chile	4	2	1	1	9:5	7
3	San Felipe	5	2	1	2	6:7	7
4	S. Wanderers	4	1	0	3	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	4	3	0	1	10:6	9
2	O Higgins	4	1	2	1	8:6	5
3	U. Espanola	4	1	1	2	3:6	4
4	Recoleta	4	1	1	2	3:6	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	4	3	0	1	6:3	9
2	Curico Unido	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
3	Rangers	4	2	0	2	4:4	6
4	U. De Concepcion	4	0	1	3	5:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	4	3	1	0	7:2	10
2	A. Italiano	4	3	0	1	7:5	9
3	Palestino	5	2	1	2	9:7	7
4	Magallanes	5	0	0	5	5:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Puerto Montt	4	2	1	1	6:3	7
2	D. Concepcion	4	2	1	1	6:6	7
3	Deportes Temuco	4	1	2	1	4:5	5
4	Huachipato	4	1	0	3	5:7	3