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U. Catolica vs Copiapo Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Ledezma I. In: Rios A.
Out: Ledezma I.
22'
Valencia J.
25'
Tabilo F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
U. Catolica
20%
Draws
23%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and U. Catolica come out ahead of Copiapo on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on U. Catolica taking it.
  • U. Catolica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and U. Catolica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 16%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Copiapo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs Copiapo
2:1
Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile
Copiapo vs U. Catolica
0:3
Sep 25, 2024 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Copiapo
4:1
Apr 27, 2024 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs U. Catolica
0:1
Dec 2, 2023 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Copiapo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabilo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 75 / 100
Copiapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Copiapo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: U. Catolica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Copiapo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

Copiapo

(Away)
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1
Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1
Copiapo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)