Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Alonso M.
56'
Fajardo J.
60'
Leguizamon N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between U. Catolica and Dep. Cuenca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
U. Catolica
6%
Draws
4%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans U. Catolica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and U. Catolica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
0:2
Mar 17, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
3:1
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 95 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Dep. Cuenca let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: U. Catolica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Dep. Cuenca
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
22 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
18 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 2
U. Catolica
15 Jul
U. Catolica
1 : 0
LDU Quito
10 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
U. Catolica
06 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 3
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
18 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 2
U. Catolica
15 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
12 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Aucas
05 Jul
Barcelona SC
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle21171352:2052
2U. Catolica21105633:1935
3Aucas20105522:1935
4Barcelona SC2197523:1634
5Macara2195724:2132
6LDU Quito2185820:1729
7Dep. Cuenca2184919:2628
8Leones del Norte2076721:2027
9Emelec2076717:2327
10Guayaquil City2075818:2226
11Mushuc Runa2066826:3024
12Libertad2166919:2624
13Orense2065923:2823
14Tecnico U.21721219:2423
15Delfin21651013:2023
16Manta2135138:2614
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)