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U. Catolica vs Macara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica host Macara in the Liga Pro. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: U. Catolica at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Macara at 1.27 for, 1.12 against. Head-to-head, U. Catolica have won 4 to Macara's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back U. Catolica to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
U. Catolica
15%
Draws
46%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: U. Catolica at 1.8 per game, Macara at 1.27.
  • U. Catolica are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors U. Catolica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 20%
Macara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Macara
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
4:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 42 / 100
Macara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Macara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: U. Catolica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Macara
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
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Macara

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 Macara 31 16 6 9 43:34 54
3 U. Catolica 31 14 9 8 52:29 51
4 Aucas 31 14 8 9 34:30 50
5 LDU Quito 31 14 7 10 33:25 49
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)