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U. Catolica vs Orense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fajardo J.
Assist: Evans J.
5' Event
Alonso M.
Assist: Clavijo E.
14' Event
Burgoa V.
Assist: Velasco P.

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
U. Catolica
15%
Draws
20%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than Orense.
  • Win probability leans U. Catolica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 20%
Orense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Orense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Orense
2:1
May 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs U. Catolica
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Orense
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs U. Catolica
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs U. Catolica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alonso M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgoa V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 85 / 100
Orense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

U. Catolica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Orense
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
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Orense

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)