Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Union La Calera

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. De Chile play Union La Calera in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. De Chile averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Union La Calera averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, U. De Chile won 0, Union La Calera won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 2, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for U. De Chile and 1.13 for Union La Calera. This points to a U. De Chile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

U. De Chile

30%

Draws

30%

Union La Calera

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

U. De Chile picked up more points recently compared to Union La Calera.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

U. De Chile Clean Sheet 21%

Union La Calera Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. De Chile	Union La Calera
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	11	8
Draws	9	5
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.56	1.11
Goals Conceded	1.04	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Copa Chile

U. De Chile vs Union La Calera

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile

Union La Calera vs U. De Chile

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

3:3

Jun 14, 2026 Liga de Primera

Union La Calera vs U. De Chile

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

May 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Union La Calera vs U. De Chile

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 24, 2026 Copa de la Liga

U. De Chile vs Union La Calera

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozzo F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile 40 / 100

Union La Calera 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. De Chile Union La Calera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. De Chile or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. De Chile attacking → ← attacking Union La Calera

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Chile scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Union La Calera let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

U. De Chile went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union La Calera lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 29

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	4	2	2	0	6:2	8
2	Deportes Iquique	4	2	1	1	8:4	7
3	Limache	4	1	2	1	6:7	5
4	San Marcos de Arica	4	0	1	3	1:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	4	4	0	0	12:4	12
2	Everton	4	1	1	2	7:7	4
3	Copiapo	4	1	1	2	2:7	4
4	San Luis	4	0	2	2	5:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	4	3	1	0	7:3	10
2	La Serena	4	2	1	1	5:5	7
3	Cobreloa	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
4	Cobresal	4	0	1	3	0:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. De Chile	4	2	1	1	9:5	7
2	Union La Calera	4	2	1	1	8:5	7
3	San Felipe	4	2	0	2	5:6	6
4	S. Wanderers	4	1	0	3	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	3	3	0	0	9:2	9
2	U. Espanola	4	1	1	2	3:6	4
3	Recoleta	4	1	1	2	3:6	4
4	O Higgins	3	0	2	1	4:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	4	3	0	1	6:3	9
2	Curico Unido	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
3	Rangers	4	2	0	2	4:4	6
4	U. De Concepcion	4	0	1	3	5:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	4	3	1	0	7:2	10
2	A. Italiano	4	3	0	1	7:5	9
3	Palestino	4	1	1	2	7:6	4
4	Magallanes	4	0	0	4	4:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Puerto Montt	4	2	1	1	6:3	7
2	Deportes Temuco	4	1	2	1	4:5	5
3	D. Concepcion	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Huachipato	3	1	0	2	4:5	3