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U. De Chile W vs S. Morning W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. De Chile W play S. Morning W in the Primera Division Women 2025. U. De Chile W are favorites here. Recently, U. De Chile W averaged 2.72 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. S. Morning W averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, U. De Chile W won 3, S. Morning W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 31, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for U. De Chile W and 0.94 for S. Morning W. This points to a U. De Chile W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
U. De Chile W
18%
Draws
24%
S. Morning W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: U. De Chile W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • U. De Chile W picked up more points recently compared to S. Morning W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
U. De Chile W Clean Sheet 24%
S. Morning W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Chile W S. Morning W
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 29 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.72 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Primera Division Women
U. De Chile W vs S. Morning W
3:0
May 4, 2025 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs U. De Chile W
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Division Women
U. De Chile W vs S. Morning W
4:2
May 18, 2024 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs U. De Chile W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

S. Morning W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile W 57 / 100
S. Morning W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Chile W S. Morning W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile W Win (1)
Secondary Pick U. De Chile W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. De Chile W attacking → ← attacking S. Morning W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Chile W scored in 82% of their last 39 games.

S. Morning W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

U. De Chile W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

S. Morning W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

93 Points in last 5 37
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W262600133:578
2U. De Chile W26212375:2165
3U. Espanola W26156541:2151
4Coquimbo W26155657:2950
5U. Catolica W26143960:2545
6Deportes Iquique W26136742:2645
7Huachipato W261131234:4936
8Palestino W26951240:4332
9S. Wanderers W26971040:4528
10S. Morning W26941329:5228
11U. De Concepcion W26461624:5518
12Recoleta W26431914:8115
13Everton W26351819:6914
14A. Italiano W26032319:1063