Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. De Concepcion vs Nublense

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción
U. De Concepcion Logo

U. De Concepcion

0 - 2
FT
Nublense Logo

Nublense

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Avalos G.
28' Event
Graciani G.
32'
Gonzalez L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
U. De Concepcion
15%
Draws
85%
Nublense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nublense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nublense lately — more wins on the board than U. De Concepcion.
  • Model gives Nublense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Nublense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nublense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nublense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 16%
Nublense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Concepcion Nublense
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion vs Nublense
0:1
Jun 25, 2026 Copa Chile
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
4:2
Jun 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
May 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
2:2
Mar 30, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Concepcion vs Nublense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Concepcion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nublense Compare

Top Goalscorer Graciani G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ovelar F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion 23 / 100
Nublense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Concepcion Nublense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nublense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

U. De Concepcion scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Nublense let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Nublense has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. De Concepcion VS Nublense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Concepcion

(Home)
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1
U. De Concepcion
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
04 Aug
U. De Concepcion
1 : 3
Curico Unido
01 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
Page 1 of 6

Nublense

(Away)
30 Aug
Nublense
0 : 1
D. Concepcion
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2
Nublense
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1
Union La Calera
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2
Nublense
04 Aug
Nublense
1 : 0
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)