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U. De Concepcion vs U. De Chile - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción
U. De Concepcion Logo

U. De Concepcion

2 - 1
FT
U. De Chile Logo

U. De Chile

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fuentealba J.
(Penalty)
8'
Retamal D.
17' Event
Waterman C.
Assist: Funes Mori R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between U. De Concepcion and U. De Chile finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. De Concepcion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
U. De Concepcion
15%
Draws
64%
U. De Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • U. De Concepcion haven't matched U. De Chile's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on U. De Chile taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Concepcion U. De Chile
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs U. De Chile
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs U. De Concepcion
1:1
Jan 3, 2021 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs U. De Concepcion
2:0
Oct 29, 2020 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs U. De Chile
1:0
Nov 9, 2019 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs U. De Concepcion
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Waterman C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

U. De Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaldivia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion 10 / 100
U. De Chile 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Concepcion U. De Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Concepcion's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

U. De Chile has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: U. De Concepcion remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. De Concepcion VS U. De Chile
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Concepcion

(Home)
08 Nov
U. De Concepcion
3 : 2
O Higgins
30 Oct
Colo Colo
6 : 1
U. De Concepcion
25 Oct
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1
Limache
10 Oct
Cobresal
1 : 1
U. De Concepcion
02 Oct
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
Huachipato
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U. De Chile

(Away)
08 Nov
U. De Chile
2 : 1
Cobresal
05 Nov
U. De Chile
4 : 0
Antofagasta
01 Nov
U. Catolica
1 : 0
U. De Chile
26 Oct
U. De Chile
4 : 1
Everton
12 Oct
U. De Chile
6 : 0
Nublense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 27 19 4 4 59:30 61
2 U. De Chile 27 15 6 6 47:22 51
3 U. Catolica 27 15 4 8 56:37 49
4 Limache 27 12 4 11 48:40 40
5 Everton 27 11 7 9 43:35 40
6 Coquimbo 27 11 5 11 39:36 38
7 Palestino 27 11 5 11 39:38 38
8 D. Concepcion 27 11 5 11 30:30 38
9 La Serena 27 9 10 8 40:42 37
10 Huachipato 27 10 6 11 35:41 36
11 Nublense 27 9 8 10 31:41 35
12 O Higgins 27 9 4 14 32:42 31
13 A. Italiano 27 7 9 11 28:36 30
14 Cobresal 27 7 6 14 39:50 27
15 U. De Concepcion 27 7 5 15 22:49 26
16 Union La Calera 27 6 6 15 24:43 24
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)