Sport Picks

Chile

Primera Division Women

U. Catolica W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. De Concepcion W play U. Catolica W in the Primera Division Women. U. Catolica W are favorites here. Recently, U. De Concepcion W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. U. Catolica W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, U. De Concepcion W won 0, U. Catolica W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for U. De Concepcion W and 2.38 for U. Catolica W. This points to a U. Catolica W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

U. De Concepcion W

15%

Draws

61%

U. Catolica W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Catolica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

U. De Concepcion W picked up more points recently compared to U. Catolica W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

U. De Concepcion W Clean Sheet 10%

U. Catolica W Clean Sheet 25%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. De Concepcion W	U. Catolica W
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	7	18
Draws	5	4
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	0.89	2.1
Goals Conceded	1.82	0.69
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Primera Division Women

U. Catolica W vs U. De Concepcion W

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division Women

U. De Concepcion W vs U. Catolica W

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division Women

U. De Concepcion W vs U. Catolica W

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

1:7

Mar 30, 2025 Primera Division Women

U. Catolica W vs U. De Concepcion W

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Jul 7, 2024 Primera Division Women

U. Catolica W vs U. De Concepcion W

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Concepcion W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

U. Catolica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogado M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Navarrete V. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion W 24 / 100

U. Catolica W 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. De Concepcion W U. Catolica W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica W Win (2)

Secondary Pick U. Catolica W & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. De Concepcion W attacking → ← attacking U. Catolica W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Concepcion W scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

U. Catolica W let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

U. De Concepcion W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

U. Catolica W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 58

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo W	15	14	1	0	61:2	43
2	U. De Chile W	15	12	2	1	44:11	38
3	U. Catolica W	15	12	0	3	31:8	36
4	Coquimbo W	15	8	4	3	20:8	28
5	U. Espanola W	14	7	3	4	17:13	24
6	Palestino W	14	5	4	5	22:19	19
7	Huachipato W	14	5	3	6	14:24	18
8	Deportes Iquique W	15	5	2	8	17:22	17
9	U. De Concepcion W	15	4	3	8	11:26	15
10	S. Wanderers W	15	3	3	9	11:24	12
11	Magallanes W	15	3	2	10	10:32	11
12	Deportes Temuco W	15	2	1	12	11:43	7
13	Recoleta W	15	2	0	13	15:52	6