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U. Espanola vs San Felipe

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. Espanola play San Felipe in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. Espanola averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. San Felipe averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, U. Espanola won 2, San Felipe won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 8, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for U. Espanola and 1.13 for San Felipe. This points to a U. Espanola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
U. Espanola
27%
Draws
34%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: U. Espanola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Espanola picked up more points recently compared to San Felipe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 21%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Espanola San Felipe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs San Felipe
2:2
Jul 22, 2017 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs San Felipe
0:2
Jul 16, 2017 Copa Chile
San Felipe vs U. Espanola
1:2
Aug 2, 2015 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs San Felipe
2:1
Jul 8, 2015 Copa Chile
San Felipe vs U. Espanola
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Espanola Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilches Araneda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Espanola 39 / 100
San Felipe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Espanola San Felipe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. Espanola or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. Espanola attacking → ← attacking San Felipe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Espanola scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

San Felipe let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

U. Espanola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Felipe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283