Sport Picks
U. Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
2'
2'
Guerra C.
Own Goal
8'
8'
Barboza A.
13'
13'
Machado W.
AI Match Summary
U. Espanola in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Espanola.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- U. Espanola haven't matched San Marcos de Arica's recent run of results.
- San Marcos de Arica are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 21%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Espanola | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs U. Espanola
2:0
Apr 4, 2016 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Oct 31, 2015 Liga de Primera
San Marcos de Arica vs U. Espanola
1:1
Jan 18, 2015 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. Espanola Compare
Top Goalscorer Massri F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Barboza A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. Espanola 16 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. Espanola San Marcos de Arica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. Espanola's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Marcos de Arica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: U. Espanola remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
U. Espanola VS San Marcos de Arica
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
U. Espanola
(Home) 04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0 U. Espanola
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1 U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
16 Aug
U. Espanola
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3 Antofagasta
27 Jul
U. Espanola
2 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
San Marcos de Arica
(Away) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
16 Aug
U. Espanola
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
