Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Madeira vs Camacha

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 Centro Desportivo da Madeira, Ribeira Brava
Sun, Feb 13, 2022
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. Madeira host Camacha in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. Camacha are expected to control this from the start. Camacha have shipped 0.95 goals a game lately, while U. Madeira have conceded 3.78 and scored 0.33. Head-to-head, U. Madeira have won 2 to Camacha's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.05) point toward Camacha. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
U. Madeira
20%
Draws
73%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Camacha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 20%
Camacha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Madeira Camacha
Matches Played 9 39
Wins 0 17
Draws 1 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.33 1.54
Goals Conceded 3.78 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Camacha
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs U. Madeira
5:0
Apr 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Camacha vs U. Madeira
0:1
Jan 16, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
U. Madeira vs Camacha
2:2
Oct 19, 2008 Taça de Portugal
U. Madeira vs Camacha
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 32 / 100
Camacha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Madeira Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

U. Madeira found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (9 games).

Defensive concern: Camacha conceded in 56% of 39 recent games.

U. Madeira went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Camacha
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Madeira

(Home)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

Camacha

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)