Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Miguel Grau

Match Events

15'

Oliva G.

32'

Ardiles R.

33'

Matzuda M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin host AD Cantolao in the Liga 2 2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. U. San Martin have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against AD Cantolao's 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, U. San Martin have won 2 to AD Cantolao's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.19) back U. San Martin to edge this. U. San Martin in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

U. San Martin

Draws

AD Cantolao

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

U. San Martin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AD Cantolao.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for U. San Martin.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

U. San Martin Clean Sheet 68%

AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. San Martin	AD Cantolao
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	6
Draws	4	5
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga

AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

4:3

May 31, 2026 Liga 2

AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

Sep 7, 2025 Liga 2

AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2

U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

May 25, 2025 Liga 2

U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

AD Cantolao Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 95 / 100

AD Cantolao 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. San Martin AD Cantolao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. San Martin scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

AD Cantolao let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

U. San Martin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AD Cantolao lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS AD Cantolao

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%