Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Affonso M.
34'
Moyano A.
45'

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
U. San Martin
20%
Draws
33%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • U. San Martin have won more games recently than Cesar Vallejo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
2:0
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
0:1
Oct 19, 2022 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
2:0
Sep 23, 2021 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Affonso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arteaga A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 41 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Cesar Vallejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. San Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. San Martin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cesar Vallejo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

U. San Martin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Cesar Vallejo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1
ADA Jaen
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Cesar Vallejo

(Away)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)