Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas

4 - 1

Ensenada FC

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

31'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UA Zacatecas in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UA Zacatecas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UA Zacatecas

Draws

Ensenada FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UA Zacatecas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Ensenada FC lately — more wins on the board than UA Zacatecas.
90% — that's where the model lands on UA Zacatecas taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 16%

Ensenada FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UA Zacatecas	Ensenada FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	4	2
Losses	17	18
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas vs Ensenada FC

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Feb 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas vs Ensenada FC

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Oct 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Ensenada FC vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UA Zacatecas 84 / 100

Ensenada FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UA Zacatecas Ensenada FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UA Zacatecas found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Ensenada FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: UA Zacatecas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UA Zacatecas VS Ensenada FC

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17