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UA Zacatecas vs Saltillo Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
UA Zacatecas Logo

UA Zacatecas

Sat, Feb 17, 2024
3 - 2
11:00 PM
Saltillo Logo

Saltillo

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Marquez J.
29' Event
Zuniga V.
56' Event
de los Santos R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UA Zacatecas in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UA Zacatecas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UA Zacatecas
20%
Draws
40%
Saltillo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saltillo lately — more wins on the board than UA Zacatecas.
  • Win probability leans UA Zacatecas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 68%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UA Zacatecas Saltillo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Saltillo
3:2
Sep 16, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs UA Zacatecas
2:1
Mar 2, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs UA Zacatecas
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Saltillo
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs UA Zacatecas
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UA Zacatecas Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Saltillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuniga V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de los Santos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UA Zacatecas 59 / 100
Saltillo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UA Zacatecas Saltillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UA Zacatecas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

UA Zacatecas scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: UA Zacatecas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Saltillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

UA Zacatecas VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UA Zacatecas

(Home)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
18 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 0
Tecos
14 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 7

Saltillo

(Away)
27 Apr
Leones Negros 2
4 : 1
Saltillo
21 Apr
Saltillo
0 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
13 Apr
Colima FC
0 : 1
Saltillo
07 Apr
Saltillo
1 : 0
Tecos
29 Mar
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0
Saltillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)