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UAI Urquiza W vs Ferro W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UAI Urquiza W play Ferro W in the Primera A Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, UAI Urquiza W averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Ferro W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, UAI Urquiza W won 3, Ferro W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 23, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for UAI Urquiza W and 0.93 for Ferro W. This points to a UAI Urquiza W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
UAI Urquiza W
15%
Draws
36%
Ferro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UAI Urquiza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • UAI Urquiza W picked up more points recently compared to Ferro W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
UAI Urquiza W Clean Sheet 24%
Ferro W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UAI Urquiza W Ferro W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2024 Primera A Women
UAI Urquiza W vs Ferro W
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs UAI Urquiza W
2:1
May 20, 2023 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs UAI Urquiza W
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Primera A Women
UAI Urquiza W vs Ferro W
7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UAI Urquiza W 49 / 100
Ferro W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UAI Urquiza W Ferro W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UAI Urquiza W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UAI Urquiza W attacking → ← attacking Ferro W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UAI Urquiza W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ferro W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

UAI Urquiza W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ferro W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75