Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uberaba vs Araguari

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Uberaba Logo

Uberaba

2 - 1
FT
Araguari Logo

Araguari

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Igor Lemos
50' Event
Carvalho C.
67' Event
Ronaldinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uberaba in this Mineiro 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uberaba
15%
Draws
0%
Araguari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uberaba lately — more wins on the board than Araguari.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Uberaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uberaba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberaba Araguari
Matches Played 36 16
Wins 18 0
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.81 0.19
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:6
Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:8
Oct 9, 2021 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Lemos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carvalho C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Araguari Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberaba 85 / 100
Araguari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberaba Araguari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguari has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Araguari's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Uberaba scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Uberaba VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberaba

(Home)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 8

Araguari

(Away)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 8 6 2 0 21:7 20
2 Contagem 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 America TO 8 4 1 3 9:6 13
4 Boston City 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
5 Social 8 0 2 6 3:15 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 10 9 0 1 21:4 27
2 Tupynambas 10 7 0 3 29:8 21
3 Inter de Minas 10 4 3 3 19:17 15
4 Villa Real 10 4 1 5 15:20 13
5 Pocos de Caldas 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
6 Tres Coracoes 10 1 0 9 5:32 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Essube 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
2 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Paracatu 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Nacional Uberaba 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Araguari 8 0 0 8 1:33 0
6 Araxa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams