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Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Breninho
50' Event
Kayke
(Penalty)
60' Event
Geovane

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Uberlandia
30%
Draws
33%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uberlandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES haven't matched Uberlandia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Uberlandia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uberlandia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uberlandia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberlandia Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES
2:2
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Rio Branco ES vs Uberlandia
0:2
Aug 28, 2021 Serie D
Rio Branco ES vs Uberlandia
0:2
Jun 12, 2021 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberlandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomas Bastos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Rio Branco ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Breninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geovane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberlandia 41 / 100
Rio Branco ES 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberlandia Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberlandia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uberlandia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Uberlandia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rio Branco ES let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uberlandia VS Rio Branco ES
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberlandia

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3