Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Cork City

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mpongo H.
6' Event
Cailloce K.
18' Event
Keating R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between UC Dublin and Cork City finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UC Dublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
UC Dublin
35%
Draws
37%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cork City come out ahead of UC Dublin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cork City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cork City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Cork City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs UC Dublin
5:1
Jul 24, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
5:2
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs UC Dublin
3:1
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cailloce K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akinrintayo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpongo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keating R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 14 / 100
Cork City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Cork City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

UC Dublin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Cork City conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Cork City
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
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Cork City

(Away)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)