Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Duffy M.
17'
17'
Dignam L.
46'
46'
Sub
Lyons-Foster B. In: Stott J.
Out: Lyons-Foster B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Derry City haven't matched UC Dublin's recent run of results.
- Derry City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- UC Dublin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Derry City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 11%
Derry City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UC Dublin | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 FAI Cup
UC Dublin vs Derry City
1:2
Sep 29, 2023 Premier Division
Derry City vs UC Dublin
6:0
Sep 6, 2023 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Derry City
0:5
May 19, 2023 Premier Division
Derry City vs UC Dublin
4:1
Mar 6, 2023 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Derry City
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UC Dublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Dignam L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Derry City Compare
Top Goalscorer Duffy M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UC Dublin 27 / 100
Derry City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UC Dublin Derry City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UC Dublin found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Derry City let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: UC Dublin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UC Dublin VS Derry City
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
UC Dublin
(Home) 18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1 UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2 Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1 UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4 Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1 UC Dublin
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2 Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4 Finn Harps
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
07 Aug
UC Dublin
4 : 1 Wexford
03 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Treaty United
Page 1 of 3
Derry City
(Away) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
