Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin play Finn Harps in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, UC Dublin averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Finn Harps averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, UC Dublin won 3, Finn Harps won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for UC Dublin and 1.06 for Finn Harps. This points to a UC Dublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
UC Dublin
15%
Draws
30%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • UC Dublin picked up more points recently compared to Finn Harps.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 22%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Finn Harps
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
0:5
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Finn Harps
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
3:4
Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Holohan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dignam L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer Benny
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 54 / 100
Finn Harps 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Dublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick UC Dublin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UC Dublin attacking → ← attacking Finn Harps

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Finn Harps let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

UC Dublin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Finn Harps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 26
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420