Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl, Dublin
UC Dublin Logo

UC Dublin

0 - 1
FT
Kerry Logo

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Brosnan C.
60'
Sub
Okwute D. In: Keane R.
Out: Okwute D.
61'
Sub
McCullagh M. In: Mohan S.
Out: McCullagh M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kerry in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UC Dublin
35%
Draws
35%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UC Dublin lately — more wins on the board than Kerry.
  • Win probability leans UC Dublin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 12%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Kerry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs UC Dublin
1:1
Jun 19, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Kerry
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs UC Dublin
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Kerry
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Kerry
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Brosnan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 38 / 100
Kerry 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Dublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kerry conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UC Dublin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Kerry
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 31 21 5 5 64:29 68
2 UC Dublin 31 14 7 10 55:40 49
3 Bray 31 13 8 10 59:44 47
4 Cobh Ramblers 31 13 6 12 38:43 45
5 Kerry 31 11 9 11 39:36 42
6 Longford 31 11 8 12 41:41 41
7 Athlone 31 11 8 12 33:36 41
8 Wexford 31 10 7 14 34:46 37
9 Treaty United 31 8 9 14 31:45 33
10 Finn Harps 31 6 7 18 29:63 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)