Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin play Longford in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, UC Dublin averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Longford averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, UC Dublin won 3, Longford won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for UC Dublin and 1.44 for Longford. This points to a UC Dublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UC Dublin
11%
Draws
9%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UC Dublin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Longford.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for UC Dublin.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 68%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Longford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
2:1
May 1, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Raggett M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lennox C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 86 / 100
Longford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Longford let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UC Dublin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Longford
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420