Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin play Longford in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, UC Dublin averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Longford averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, UC Dublin won 3, Longford won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for UC Dublin and 1.44 for Longford. This points to a UC Dublin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UC Dublin
27%
Draws
30%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • UC Dublin picked up more points recently compared to Longford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 16%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Longford
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs UC Dublin
0:2
May 9, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Longford
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Raggett M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lennox C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 42 / 100
Longford 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UC Dublin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UC Dublin attacking → ← attacking Longford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Longford let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

UC Dublin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 34
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Wexford2276925:3027
6Kerry2267922:2725
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420