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UC Idanhense vs Condeixa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between UC Idanhense and Condeixa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UC Idanhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UC Idanhense
35%
Draws
49%
Condeixa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Condeixa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • UC Idanhense haven't matched Condeixa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
UC Idanhense Clean Sheet 68%
Condeixa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Idanhense Condeixa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Condeixa vs UC Idanhense
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
UC Idanhense vs Condeixa
1:0
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
UC Idanhense vs Condeixa
0:5
Oct 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Condeixa vs UC Idanhense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Idanhense 41 / 100
Condeixa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Idanhense Condeixa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Idanhense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condeixa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

UC Idanhense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

UC Idanhense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Idanhense VS Condeixa
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Idanhense

(Home)
08 May
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 2
UC Idanhense
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
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Condeixa

(Away)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
Condeixa
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 1
Condeixa
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